Vallejo D. vs Jodar R.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 79%. Jodar took sets in eight of nine supplied recent completed hard-court best-of-three matches and won seven, including 2-0 over Bublik on 25 September and August wins over Fils, Lehecka and Musetti. His rank of 13 is ahead of Vallejo's 56. Main risk: Vallejo took sets in seven of eight comparable matches and just beat Faria and Daniel. Jodar lost 0-2 to Nakashima and 0-3 to Bu in the US Open; best-of-five and incomplete scores are excluded from the comparable counts. No H2H is supplied.