Bastia vs Orleans

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 79%. Seven of each team's eight August-September matches stayed below four goals. Bastia's latest results were 0-1 at Paris 13 Atl., 1-1 with Cannes and 1-0 at Bourg en Bresse; Orleans most recently drew 0-0 with Cannes after a 0-2 loss at Amiens. Orleans' four listed August-September away matches all stayed below the line. Main risk: Bastia lost 2-3 to Versailles and Orleans lost 0-4 to the same opponent. The H2Hs are old and carry little weight.