Ye S. vs Fruhvirtova L.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Fruhvirtova L. won a set in 8 of 10 completed hard-court best-of-three matches in the supplied recent history (5 wins). Fruhvirtova won four consecutive September matches before taking sets in losses to Klugman and Ito. Her rank is 177 versus 748, and her opponents generally provide a stronger test than Ye's recent wins. Main risk: Ye beat Hou and Wu R. X. recently and took Jiang to three sets; Fruhvirtova has lost her latest three matches, most recently 0-2 to Sakkari, and has only five wins in ten.