Vukic A. vs Seggerman R.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Vukic A. won a set in 8 of 9 completed hard-court best-of-three matches in the supplied recent history (4 wins). His September loss to Jacquet and August losses to Lajal and Altmaier all included a set; he also beat Jacquet, Barrios Vera and Svajda in straight sets. His rank of 91 versus 606 and stronger opposition support the exact set market. Main risk: Seggerman won three straight September matches against Fenty, Rybakov and Mayo before taking a set against Krueger; Vukic has only four wins in nine comparable matches and lost 0-2 to Sakellaridis S.