Valencia vs Forca Lleida

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. Valencia won three of four September games and lost to Barcelona by only one point, compared with Forca Lleida's nine-point loss to Barcelona. Valencia won all four supplied direct meetings, including 101-65 in February and 99-78 last October. Main risk: Lleida are 4-1 this month with wins over Joventut and Manresa and have not played since September 13; the current form is stronger than the old head-to-heads suggest. Stale supplied prices are omitted.