Real Madrid vs Unicaja

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. Real Madrid won four of five September games, including Olympiacos 93-89, Dubai 98-95 and Tenerife 97-90. They also won the last four supplied meetings with Unicaja, including 100-70 and 96-92 in February. Main risk: Unicaja won both current games, also beating Tenerife, and Real Madrid lost 77-78 to Dubai most recently. Several recent wins were close, and Unicaja's two-game current sample leaves lineup uncertainty.