Zalgiris Kaunas vs Siauliai

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 80%. Zalgiris won five of six September games, including 98-77 over Gargzdai and 93-69 over Neptunas. Siauliai lost 79-90 to Gargzdai. Zalgiris also won all ten supplied head-to-heads, with April and March margins of 13 and 29 points. Main risk: Siauliai are 2-1 this month and just beat Lietkabelis; January's direct meeting was decided by four points, and confirmed lineups are unavailable.