Olomoucko vs NH Ostrava

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. NH Ostrava won all three September games by at least nine points, while Olomoucko lost all four. Against shared opponent Opava, Ostrava won 89-77 and Olomoucko lost 75-82. Ostrava also won the last three supplied head-to-heads. Main risk: Ostrava are away, their last three opponents differ from some of Olomoucko's stronger opposition, and the displayed model estimates only 60%; the independent estimate puts more weight on current form than the older Nymburk playoff defeats.