Barrena A. vs Mena F.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Mena won nine of ten completed clay matches, including his latest nine. His latest five wins were all 2-0, against Boscardin Dias, Kicker, Justo, Olivo and Dellien, with earlier wins over Heide and Alcala Gurri. Main risk: Barrena has won four consecutive matches in straight sets, including Aguilar Cardozo and Ficovich, and eight of ten clay matches overall. Rankings are close and no head-to-head is supplied, so both finalists pose a substantial threat.