Loureiro J. V. C. vs Remondy Pagotto V. H.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. Loureiro took a set in nine of ten completed clay matches and won six, including Tosetto 2-1 and Braga 2-0 this week. Three of his four defeats in the sample went to a third set. Main risk: Remondy Pagotto has won four of six current clay matches and took a set in five; rankings are close and much of both players' form comes against lower-level opponents. Loureiro lost his latest match 0-2 to Alves.