Cengiz B. vs Kostovic T.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. Kostovic took a set in eight of nine completed hard-court matches and won six, including four consecutive 2-0 wins over Iatcenko, Tian, Bertea and Ansari. She also took sets in losses to Rus and Kubka, and is ranked 159 against 307. Main risk: Cengiz has won all four current hard-court matches in straight sets and won their 2024 clay meeting 2-0. Her hard-court sample is short but strong, and the different-surface head-to-head remains contrary evidence.