Tang Q. / Xu Y. vs Routliffe E. / Sutjiadi A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. Routliffe and Sutjiadi won seven of nine completed hard-court matches, including Costoulas/Gibson 2-0 yesterday and earlier wins over Fernandez/Tjen and Bondar/Kalinina. They beat Tang/Xu 2-0 on July 31. The incomplete Garland/Hsieh result is excluded, and yesterday's subsequent completed match is publicly verified. Main risk: Tang and Xu have won all three rounds this week, including Hunter/Krawczyk 2-0 and Kato/Perez 2-1, and took a set in eight of ten completed hard-court matches. Doubles variance limits the value of one head-to-head.