Marozsan F. vs Jacquet K.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 74%. Marozsan took a set in all eight completed hard-court best-of-three matches in his sample and won five, including Daniel 2-1 and Bolt 2-0 this week. Losses to Duckworth, Zheng and Arnaldi still yielded a set. His best-of-five result and the unknown-surface Van Herck match are excluded. Main risk: Jacquet has taken a set in eight of ten hard-court matches and just beat Etcheverry 2-0. Both players are competitive, and Marozsan needed three sets in his latest round.