Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 68%. Hapoel Tel Aviv are 3-2 in September, with wins over Bayern 85-77 and Partizan 94-83. Beer Sheva are 2-1 against domestic opposition but lost 69-83 to Hapoel Jerusalem. Tel Aviv won the last three supplied meetings. Main risk: Tel Aviv lost their last two games, Beer Sheva have won two of three current games, and January's 112-108 head-to-head required overtime; the current samples and unconfirmed lineups leave meaningful uncertainty.