Olympiacos vs AEK Athens

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Olympiacos won six of seven September games, including Baskonia 106-89 and wins over Fenerbahce and Maccabi Tel Aviv. AEK lost 56-78 to Panathinaikos and 66-76 to Trabzonspor; their 82-82 Spartak result is not counted as a decisive result. Olympiacos also won the two May meetings by 17 and 27 points. Main risk: AEK have only two decisive current results, lineups are unconfirmed, and four of Olympiacos's six September wins were by five points or fewer.