Cassone M. vs Masur D.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 74%. Cassone won seven of eight completed hard-court matches, with five completed September wins including Harris B., Tabur, Zahraj and Montes-De La Torre. The missing Mayot result and 0-0 Wendelken score are excluded. The recent wins and rank of 318 versus 406 support taking a set. Main risk: Masur has eight wins from ten hard-court matches and four consecutive wins; Cassone has accumulated qualifying matches and the opposing form is strong enough to prevent a high outright-win estimate.