Pohankova M. vs Swan K.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. Pohankova took a set in seven of eight completed hard-court matches and won six, including 2-0 wins over Podrez and Jorge F. this week. She also took a set in the recent loss to Knutson. With rankings 212 and 208, this is a competitive-set assessment rather than an outright superiority claim. Main risk: Swan has taken a set in all six completed hard-court matches in her sample and won five; the model favors Swan to win the match, so the matchup could be tougher than Pohankova's recent opponents.