Svrcina D. vs Noguchi R.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. Svrcina took a set in six of eight completed best-of-three matches in his latest results, including straight-set hard-court wins over Sekulic, Galarneau and Meligeni Alves. He won both listed H2Hs 2-0. Main risk: Noguchi has won four of his last six and just beat Imamura 2-0. The older H2Hs have limited weight, and best-of-five results are excluded from the set-rate count.