San Juan Knights vs Ilagan Isabela Cowboys

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. San Juan are 8-2 in ten dated July-September games, with September 1 and August 26 wins of 74-62 over Mindoro and 78-71 over Batangas. Ilagan lost their four latest games, including 90-98 to Valenzuela on September 7 and 67-94 to Abra on September 3. San Juan won the July 2025 H2H 87-79. Main risk: San Juan lost 64-71 to Binan on August 22 and 71-78 to Quezon on July 30; their September 9 win by 73 points over Paranaque inflates the 91% model, and Ilagan beat Bataan 80-76 in July. No current exact price is verified; odds omitted.