Rocha H. vs Rodriguez Taverna S.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 89%. Rocha H. won a set in 8/10 (80%) recent completed clay matches; the high-quality match model's 82% outright forecast converts to a conservative 93% win-a-set estimate, the current 86% no-vig outright market implies about 94% to win a set, and dated H2H shows a set in 1/1. Main risk: 2/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.