Erel Y. vs Albot R.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 82%. Erel Y. won a set in 7/9 (78%) recent completed hard matches; the high-quality match model's 60% outright forecast converts to a conservative 81% win-a-set estimate, the current 61% no-vig outright market implies about 82% to win a set, and dated H2H shows a set in 1/1. Main risk: 2/9 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.