Brockmann T. J. vs Burel C.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 80%. Burel C. won a set in 8/9 (89%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 61% outright forecast converts to a conservative 82% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/9 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.