Boitan G. A. vs Mayot H.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 80%. Mayot H. won a set in 7/9 (78%) recent completed hard matches; the high-quality match model's 64% outright forecast converts to a conservative 84% win-a-set estimate, the current 65% no-vig outright market implies about 84% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 2/9 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.