Zheng Q. vs Rybakina E.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 87%. Rybakina E. won a set in 8/9 (89%) recent completed hard matches; the medium-quality match model's 78% outright forecast converts to a conservative 91% win-a-set estimate, the current 71% no-vig outright market implies about 87% to win a set, and dated H2H shows a set in 2/2. Main risk: 1/9 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.