Kabbaj Y. vs Buyukakcay C.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 87%. Kabbaj Y. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed clay matches; the high-quality match model's 74% outright forecast converts to a conservative 89% win-a-set estimate, the current 74% no-vig outright market implies about 89% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.