Bobichon M. vs Rodionov J.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 88%. Rodionov J. won a set in 8/9 (89%) recent completed hard matches; the high-quality match model's 78% outright forecast converts to a conservative 91% win-a-set estimate, the current 82% no-vig outright market implies about 93% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/9 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.