Nguyen Tan L. vs Granwehr A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Granwehr A. won a set in 8/9 (89%) recent completed clay matches; the high-quality match model's 66% outright forecast converts to a conservative 85% win-a-set estimate, the current 65% no-vig outright market implies about 84% to win a set, and dated H2H shows a set in 0/1. Main risk: 1/9 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.