Ciric Bagaric L. vs Price G.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 89%. Ciric Bagaric L. won a set in 8/9 (89%) recent completed clay matches; the high-quality match model's 82% outright forecast converts to a conservative 93% win-a-set estimate, the current 86% no-vig outright market implies about 94% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/9 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.