Struplova J. vs Ibragimova A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Ibragimova A. won a set in 8/10 (80%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 56% outright forecast converts to a conservative 79% win-a-set estimate, the current 63% no-vig outright market implies about 83% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 2/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.