Rizespor vs Alanyaspor

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. Rizespor have won six of their last 10 at ninth in the table against an Alanyaspor side with two wins in 10, and Rizespor are unbeaten in the last three head-to-heads (1-1, 0-0, 3-1); model gives 53% win plus 24% draw. Main risk: three of the last four meetings between these sides were draws, leaning the pick on the draw cover.