Cerundolo F. vs Blockx A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 79%. Blockx A. won a set in 8/9 (89%) recent completed hard matches; the medium-quality match model's 57% outright forecast converts to a conservative 79% win-a-set estimate, the current 63% no-vig outright market implies about 83% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/9 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.