Potapova A. vs Anisimova A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 83%. Anisimova A. won a set in 7/9 (78%) recent completed hard matches; the medium-quality match model's 73% outright forecast converts to a conservative 88% win-a-set estimate, the current 78% no-vig outright market implies about 91% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 2/9 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.