Nedic A. vs Nikles J.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 87%. Nedic A. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 73% outright forecast converts to a conservative 88% win-a-set estimate, the current 78% no-vig outright market implies about 91% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.