Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 66%. Nashville have won 7 of their last 10 and 4 of the last 6 head-to-heads, including last night's 3-2 and an 8-0 shutout, while Louisville have lost 8 of 10; model 66% (high quality, expected runs 6.20-3.60). Main risk: Louisville took the two meetings before this series and rotating minor-league lineups keep single-game variance high.