Scranton/WB vs Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. Scranton/WB have won the last two head-to-heads by a combined 25-2 and are 6-4 in their last 10, while Lehigh Valley have lost 7 of 10; model 76% (high quality, expected runs 7.70-3.16). Main risk: Lehigh Valley won 3 of the 4 meetings before that, including 13-1, and minor-league lineups rotate heavily.