Boston Red Sox vs Athletics

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 67%. Boston are 8-2 in their last ten scoring 4.8 to 3.3 conceded, the Athletics are 2-8 conceding 6.1 per game, and Boston lead the season head-to-head 6-4 having won three of the last four. Main risk: MLB single games are high variance, the Athletics have won three of these ten meetings by one run, and a strong opposing start neutralises the form gap.