Samsung Lions vs Lotte Giants

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 66%. Samsung have won 7 of their last 10 and 4 of the last 6 head-to-heads including three shutout-style home wins (3-0, 5-0, 4-1); model 66% (high quality, expected runs 6.93-4.29). Main risk: single-game baseball variance is high and Lotte took two recent meetings.