Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar U23

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 74%. Queensland Lions are 8W-1D-1L in their last ten and average 2.17 scored against 0.67 conceded at home, while Brisbane Roar U23 are 3W-1D-6L and ship 2.0 per away game; the Lions have won four of the last five meetings including 3-1 in May. Main risk: the Lions have won their last three home games only 1-0, so a single goal margin leaves the Roar U23 an equaliser away from costing this.