Puebla vs Veracruz

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 68%. Puebla are 7-3 with the best run prevention in this matchup at 2.0 conceded per game against Veracruz's 6.8, and Puebla have won the four most recent head-to-heads (6-5, 10-9, 9-6, 3-2). Main risk: Veracruz took three of the meetings before that run and Puebla only score 4.0 per game, so a single big inning can decide it.