Oaxaca vs Yucatan

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. Oaxaca are 6-4 with 7.4 runs per game at home in Oaxaca, Yucatan are 3-7 scoring only 2.2 per game, and Oaxaca have won nine of the last ten head-to-heads including 5-4, 7-4 and 9-5 in the three most recent. Main risk: Oaxaca also concede 5.5 runs a game and Yucatan won the one recent exception 8-4, so a bullpen collapse is a live path to the upset.