Svitolina E. vs Potapova A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 68%. Svitolina is 6-3 on hard in her last nine on the surface and beat Kudermetova and Bouzas Maneiro this Toronto swing, while Potapova is only 5-5 on hard and lost 0-2 to Shnaider last week; the one prior meeting went to Svitolina in straight sets and market price of 1.40 implies 68% for the same side. Main risk: Svitolina is 4-4 overall in her last eight and Potapova has beaten Ruse and Williams inside the last ten days, so a flat serving day from Svitolina flips this quickly.