Valur vs Stjarnan

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. The model rates over 2.5 goals at 76%; Stjarnan's last six away games all went over with 25 total goals, and the last three head-to-heads (4-2, 3-2, 2-1) all cleared the line. Main risk: Valur have scored just five in four home games, so the home side may not contribute enough.