York City vs Northampton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made York City favourites at 73% (Northampton 10%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 1.98 to 0.52 and 4 wins in York City's last 10 matches to 1 for Northampton. It put over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 38%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 17%.

Key facts before the match

• Northampton have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 23 Feb 2016, when Northampton won 2-1.