Football · Challenge League · Switzerland
Xamax vs Aarau
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Xamax favourites at 45% (Aarau 34%, draw 21%). Aarau lead the head-to-head 7-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It puts over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 68%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 9 of Xamax's last 10 matches and 9 of Aarau's.
- Aarau scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Xamax are 4th in Challenge League on 16 points from 11 games; Aarau are 6th on 12.
- They last met on 28 Aug 2026, when Aarau won 2-1.
- Aarau concede 2.5 goals a game away from home.
Switzerland•Challenge League
vs
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 22:15
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-1-7
Last 10 matches
1010
13/1916/19
1.301.60
1.901.90
7/1010/10
3/105/10
8/109/10
7/108/10
2/101/10
3/100/10
9/1010/10
9/109/10
6/109/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Xamax at homeAarau away
34
1/30/4
0/31/4
2/33/4
1.331.25
1.672.50
2/34/4
1/31/4
1/30/4
2/34/4
2/34/4
1/30/4
1/30/4
3/34/4
1/34/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Xamax: 1.79
Expected Goals
Aarau: 1.54
Xamax
45%
Draw
21%
Aarau
34%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 68%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.5%
1 — Xamax
2.65▲
Implied 34%
Edge +10.5%
X
3.80▼
Implied 24%
Edge -3.0%
2 — Aarau
2.20▲
Implied 42%
Edge -7.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Xamax · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Lausanne Ouchy#1 vs Xamax#4
0-0D
18 Oct2026
Langenthal vs Xamax#4
2-3W
09 Oct2026
Xamax#4 vs Winterthur#3
3-0W
02 Oct2026
Sochaux#12 vs Xamax#4
2-1L
25 Sept2026
Zurich#4 vs Xamax#4
3-1L
18 Sept2026
Xamax#4 vs Rapperswil-jona#8
0-3L
11 Sept2026
Stade Nyonnais#10 vs Xamax#4
1-3W
04 Sept2026
Winterthur#3 vs Xamax#4
4-0L
01 Sept2026
Xamax#4 vs Yverdon#2
1-2L
28 Aug2026
Aarau#6 vs Xamax#4
2-1L
Team 2 Form
Aarau · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Aarau#6 vs Etoile-carouge#7
1-2L
18 Oct2026
Aarau#6 vs Zurich#4
2-0W
09 Oct2026
Stade Nyonnais#10 vs Aarau#6
2-1L
02 Oct2026
Aarau#6 vs Young Boys#2
1-2L
24 Sept2026
Grasshoppers#11 vs Aarau#6
4-1L
18 Sept2026
Winterthur#3 vs Aarau#6
2-1L
12 Sept2026
Aarau#6 vs Kriens#5
2-2D
04 Sept2026
Aarau#6 vs Rapperswil-jona#8
3-2W
31 Aug2026
Wil#9 vs Aarau#6
2-2D
28 Aug2026
Aarau#6 vs Xamax#4
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
28 Aug2026
Aarau#6 vs Xamax#4
2-1•
01 May2026
Xamax#4 vs Aarau#6
1-3•
21 Mar2026
Aarau#6 vs Xamax#4
1-0•
28 Nov2025
Xamax#4 vs Aarau#6
1-2•
09 Aug2025
Aarau#6 vs Xamax#4
2-0•
11 Apr2025
Xamax#4 vs Aarau#6
1-1•
07 Mar2025
Aarau#6 vs Xamax#4
2-0•
13 Dec2024
Xamax#4 vs Aarau#6
1-3•
03 Aug2024
Aarau#6 vs Xamax#4
1-3•
12 Apr2024
Xamax#4 vs Aarau#6
3-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Xamax
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