Football · Serie B · Italy
Mantova vs Cremonese
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Mantova favourites at 67% (Cremonese 14%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.98 to 0.76, Mantova sitting 2nd in the table to Cremonese's 18th and 6 wins in Mantova's last 10 matches to 4 for Cremonese. Cremonese lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Mantova about 39% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 48%.
Key facts
- They last met on 25 Apr 2025, when Cremonese won 4-2.
Italy•Serie B
vs
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 22:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-4-4
Last 10 matches
1010
18/1312/12
1.801.20
1.301.20
9/106/10
7/104/10
7/106/10
3/104/10
3/104/10
1/104/10
9/106/10
5/105/10
6/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Mantova at homeCremonese away
46
2/43/6
1/42/6
1/41/6
1.751.50
1.251.17
3/45/6
3/43/6
1/41/6
3/43/6
2/43/6
1/43/6
1/41/6
2/43/6
2/43/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Mantova: 1.98
Expected Goals
Cremonese: 0.76
Mantova
67%
Draw
19%
Cremonese
14%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 48%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.5%
1 — Mantova
2.40▲
Implied 39%
Edge +27.9%
X
3.30
Implied 28%
Edge -9.5%
2 — Cremonese
2.90▼
Implied 32%
Edge -18.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Mantova · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Entella#12 vs Mantova#2
0-1W
17 Oct2026
Mantova#2 vs Palermo#1
0-2L
11 Oct2026
Catanzaro#20 vs Mantova#2
1-3W
20 Sept2026
Mantova#2 vs Pisa#6
2-2D
13 Sept2026
Mantova#2 vs Sampdoria#19
2-0W
06 Sept2026
Cesena#15 vs Mantova#2
1-1D
03 Sept2026
Palermo#1 vs Mantova#2
5-2L
30 Aug2026
Mantova#2 vs Empoli#16
3-1W
22 Aug2026
Carrarese#17 vs Mantova#2
1-2W
16 Aug2026
Lazio#2 vs Mantova#2
0-2W
Team 2 Form
Cremonese · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Cremonese#18 vs Juve Stabia#14
0-1L
17 Oct2026
Pisa#6 vs Cremonese#18
3-1L
10 Oct2026
Arezzo#10 vs Cremonese#18
0-0D
02 Oct2026
Juventus#7 vs Cremonese#18
0-1W
26 Sept2026
Monza#15 vs Cremonese#18
2-3W
19 Sept2026
Cremonese#18 vs Entella#12
0-0D
12 Sept2026
Cesena#15 vs Cremonese#18
2-2D
06 Sept2026
Cremonese#18 vs Padova#9
3-1W
01 Sept2026
Parma#19 vs Cremonese#18
0-2W
28 Aug2026
Cremonese#18 vs Modena#3
0-3L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
25 Apr2025
Cremonese#18 vs Mantova#2
4-2•
09 Nov2024
Mantova#2 vs Cremonese#18
1-0•
06 Feb2016
Mantova#2 vs Cremonese#18
0-2•
27 Sept2015
Cremonese#18 vs Mantova#2
3-3•
18 Jan2015
Cremonese#18 vs Mantova#2
0-0•
07 Sept2014
Mantova#2 vs Cremonese#18
1-2•
11 Mar2006
Mantova#2 vs Cremonese#18
0-0•
22 Oct2005
Cremonese#18 vs Mantova#2
1-2•
06 Feb2005
Mantova#2 vs Cremonese#18
0-0•
26 Sept2004
Cremonese#18 vs Mantova#2
2-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Mantova
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