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Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe

Wales vs Portugal

Tuesday, 17 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Portugal favourites at 53% (Wales 25%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.68 to 1.06, 7 wins in Portugal's last 10 matches to 3 for Wales and 3 wins from the last 3 meetings to 0. It puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 44%.

Key facts

  • Portugal have won 4 matches in a row.
  • Wales are 3rd in UEFA Nations League on 3 points from 4 games; Portugal are 1st on 12.
  • They last met on 24 Sept 2026, when Portugal won 1-0.
Europe•UEFA Nations League
Rank 3 · 3 pts
L23d
W26d
L30d
L33d
L143d
D147d
D210d
D215d
W343d
W346d
3W · 3D · 4L
vs
Rank 1 · 12 pts
W23d
W26d
W30d
W33d
L113d
W116d
D121d
W126d
D132d
W139d
7W · 2D · 1L
Tuesday, 17 November 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 0-0-3
Last 10 matches
1010
14/1119/8
1.401.90
1.100.80
7/108/10
2/106/10
9/107/10
2/101/10
1/103/10
3/102/10
7/107/10
3/106/10
6/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Wales at homePortugal away
63
2/62/3
3/61/3
1/60/3
2.002.00
1.001.00
5/62/3
2/62/3
1/61/3
6/62/3
0/61/3
0/61/3
1/61/3
2/62/3
5/62/3
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Wales: 1.06
Expected Goals
Portugal: 1.68
Wales
25%
Draw
22%
Portugal
53%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 44%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Team 1 Form
Wales · # = league position now
04 Oct2026
Wales#3 vs Denmark#2
0-1L
01 Oct2026
Wales#3 vs Norway#4
2-1W
27 Sept2026
Denmark#2 vs Wales#3
2-0L
24 Sept2026
Portugal#1 vs Wales#3
1-0L
06 Jun2026
Romania#1 vs Wales#3
2-1L
02 Jun2026
Wales#3 vs Ghana#3
1-1D
31 Mar2026
Wales#3 vs Northern Ireland
1-1D
26 Mar2026
Wales#3 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina#3
1-1D
18 Nov2025
Wales#3 vs North Macedonia
7-1W
15 Nov2025
Liechtenstein vs Wales#3
0-1W
Team 2 Form
Portugal · # = league position now
04 Oct2026
Portugal#1 vs Norway#4
2-1W
01 Oct2026
Denmark#2 vs Portugal#1
2-4W
27 Sept2026
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
1-2W
24 Sept2026
Portugal#1 vs Wales#3
1-0W
06 Jul2026
Portugal#1 vs Spain#1
0-1L
03 Jul2026
Portugal#1 vs Croatia#3
2-1W
28 Jun2026
Colombia#1 vs Portugal#1
0-0D
23 Jun2026
Portugal#1 vs Uzbekistan#4
5-0W
17 Jun2026
Portugal#1 vs D.r. Congo#3
1-1D
10 Jun2026
Portugal#1 vs Nigeria#2
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
24 Sept2026
Portugal#1 vs Wales#3
1-0•
06 Jul2016
Portugal#1 vs Wales#3
2-0•
02 Jun2000
Portugal#1 vs Wales#3
3-0•

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