Worthing vs Wealdstone

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Worthing favourites at 54% (Wealdstone 24%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.64 to 0.98. Wealdstone lead the head-to-head 3-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 51%. Worthing won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 7 Jan 2006, when Worthing won 3-1.