Wolfsburg vs Cottbus

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Wolfsburg favourites at 70% (Cottbus 14%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.40 to 0.94 and 5 wins in Wolfsburg's last 10 matches to 3 for Cottbus. It put over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 49%. It ended 4-4, a draw the model had put at 16%.

Key facts before the match

• Wolfsburg are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• Cottbus have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 8 Jan 2016, when Wolfsburg won 2-0.