West Ham vs Wrexham

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made West Ham favourites at 65% (Wrexham 16%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.93 to 0.82 and 5 wins in West Ham's last 10 matches to 2 for Wrexham. It put over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 54%. West Ham won 6-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• West Ham have won 3 matches in a row.