West Ham vs Portsmouth

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made West Ham favourites at 58% (Portsmouth 20%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.64 to 0.84. It put over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 49%. West Ham won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• West Ham are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• Portsmouth have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 14 Jan 2012, when West Ham won 1-0.